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Why factory output figures are suspect -R Nagaraj

-The Hindu Business Line The MCA database, which underpins the jump in factory GDP, is unconvincing. The ASI method was set aside for wrong reasons In early 2015, the Central Statistical Office (CSO) introduced a new series of National Accounts Statistics (NAS) with 2011-12 as the base year, replacing the earlier series with the base year 2004-05. It is the CSO's routine job to make such revisions, roughly once in a decade,...

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Measuring Economic Development: Data points undergo changes in 4 yrs -Aanchal Magazine

-The Indian Express GDP growth rates for pre-2011-12 years, making it impossible to compare the new growth data with the growth during the UPA years. New Delhi: From a new gross domestic product (GDP) series to a revised Index of Industrial Production and inflation indices, alongside fresh interventions including payroll reporting based on EPFO data, statistical measurement tools to gauge economic development underwent some change over the past four years. In the...

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GDP numbers have brought cheer, but Indian economy needs a more even path to growth -Radhika Pandey, Amey Sapre and Pramod Sinha

-ThePrint.in Growing CAD, weak bank deposit growth, and fiscal deficit surpassing estimates cause for worry. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) recently released the Second Advance Estimates (2nd AE) for 2017-18, and the 3rd quarter GDP growth figures for October-December 2017. The new numbers have added some cheer to the disappointing state of affairs in the economy. The aggregate gross domestic product (GDP) registered a healthy growth of 7.2 per cent, while the gross...

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The Truth That GDP Figures Conceal -Bodapati Srujana

-Newsclick.in The estimated growth rate for the second quarter has been declared as 6.3%, but this is nothing that an average Indian should celebrate. The quick estimated growth rate of GDP for the second quarter (Q2) of 2017-18, has been declared as 6.3%, compared to 5.7% of the previous quarter (Q1). This is seen by many, including Mr Jaitley, as a sign that India’s economic growth is back on track. According to...

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Rural distress may lessen even as agriculture growth may stay flat -Sandip Das and Banikinkar Pattanayak

-The Financial Express The distress in rural India on account of a glut-induced crash in prices of farm commodities will likely alleviate soon as prices tend to look up, but statistical factors will keep farm-sector growth subdued in the short-term. A crash in prices kept growth in nominal gross value added (GVA) for the agriculture and allied sector above the expansion in real term in Q1FY18 for the first time in five...

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