-The Telegraph Document says country is poised to consolidate and accelerate its revival over the rest of the year A Reserve Bank of India (RBI) document on Monday said contact-intensive sectors will lead India’s recovery. Besides, elevated inflation will cool from September ``albeit stubbornly’’ on the back of easing momentum and favourable base effects, according to a paper on the state of the economy co-authored by deputy governor Michael Patra, that is part...
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The three economic realities facing China -Uma Gupta
-Hindustan Times The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) began in Beijing on October 16. While the run-up to the 20th congress has been dominated by talks of Xi Jinping getting elected as the highest leader for an unprecedented third consecutive time, the gathering will also have to confront serious and somewhat new questions as far as the Chinese economy is concerned. The 20th National Congress of the...
More »Various estimates point towards one conclusion – the number of poor Indians swelled in 2020
The newly released World Bank report has estimated that the number of extremely poor people globally went up by nearly 71 million in the year 2020 as compared to 2019 — a 11 percent increase. Between 2019 and 2020, the number of poor swelled by around 56 million in India. It means that about 79 percent of the total people globally who slipped into poverty during the first year of...
More »Hard realities -Renu Kohli
-The Telegraph The economy remains vulnerable to headwinds The shortfall in economic growth in the April-June quarter against rosier predictions of most, including the central bank, came as a surprise.Few anticipated the gap between expected and actual performance would be as much (2.5-3 percentage points). It has prompted a tide of downward revisions for the whole year; these follow a previous round, two months ago, due to inflation, higher interest rates, and...
More »Realistic analysis shows that the Indian economy has simply taken little steps in Q1 instead of a quantum leap
There is euphoria abound about India's growth performance during the first quarter of the current fiscal. As compared to the corresponding period last year, the year-on-year (y-o-y) GDP growth in the first quarter (Q1) of 2022-23 is down. However, one should take into account the fact that the high growth performance of the real GDP in Q1 of 2021-22 was due to the low base in the corresponding period of...
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