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Why India’s trade surplus is a warning signal -Parthapratim Pal and Partha Ray

-The Hindu Business Line Despite the lockdown, India’s trade balance in April and May turned positive. This has been achieved by a sharper decline in imports, pointing towards a contraction of demand in the real economy The RBI has released India’s balance of payments data for the fourth quarter (January-March) of 2019-20. It shows that during this quarter, India has managed a small current account surplus which is around 0.1 per cent...

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India needs consumers, but RBI survey shows it won't get them soon enough -Aparna Iyer

-Livemint.com Consumer confidence indices, an output of RBI survey of 5,300 households spread across 13 cities, fell to a historic low in May. The future expectations index dropped to 97.9 in May from 115.2 in March MUMBAI: As the covid-19 pandemic continues to spread, India’s economy has lost its main engine of growth: consumption. A survey by the country’s central bank shows how stark is the pessimism among Indians. It also gives various...

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Santosh K Mehrotra, Professor of Economics at the Centre for Informal Sector & Labour Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University, interviewed by Sobhana K Nair (The Hindu)

-The Hindu India risks losing benefits of the demographic dividend by not creating enough jobs for new entrants, warns Professor Mehrotra. Santosh K Mehrotra, Professor of Economics at the Centre for Informal Sector & Labour Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University and author of the recently launched book Reviving Jobs: An Agenda For Growth said the current reverse migration has set the country back by 15 years, and stressed that the economic stimulus...

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Modi's 'Stimulus Package' is a Gigantic Confidence Trick Played on the People of India -Prem Shankar Jha

-TheWire.in Eighty per cent or more of the demand in the economy has vanished thanks to the lockdown he hastily announced, with no warning or preparation. The only way out is to pump money in to revive demand. In  a discussion on NDTV about the contents of the third tranche of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s stimulus package for the economy, Yogendra Yadav, one of India’s most respected psephologists, called it ‘entertainment’. Yadav...

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Will Indian Agriculture Come out Relatively Unscathed in FY'21? -Siraj Hussain and Jugal Mohapatra

-TheWire.in The outlook for kharif 2020 contains a few good signs, but much will depend on the monsoon. Since the harvesting of most rabi crops was completed in time, despite the nationwide lockdown from March 24 onwards, an impression has gained ground that all is well with Indian agriculture. It is true that due to extraordinary efforts made by government machinery, procurement of wheat in Punjab, Haryana and Madhya Pradesh has been more...

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