-Newsclick.in After economic liberalisation, barring a brief hiatus, the growth rate has scarcely moved up compared with earlier, with manufacturing -- the sector that counts most -- often logging lower growth than before. The “Gross Domestic Product” (GDP) is a concept rooted in an epistemic position which is intrinsically incapable of recognising the existence of a “surplus” in society. A simple example will make this clear. Suppose we have an agrarian economy...
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The case for doubting India's GDP numbers -V Anantha Nageswaran
-Livemint.com Arvind Subramanian’s conclusions about GDP growth figures are in the right direction. There’s no point being in denial Arvind Subramanian was the chief economic advisor (CEA) to the Government of India from October 2014 to June 2018. Among other things, he became well known and was praised deservingly for his Economic Surveys. He made that document interesting, useful and accessible. He also took it to the country by hosting online lectures...
More »India's budget math faces a tough challenge now -Nikita Kwatra
-Livemint.com To keep up with the pressure of making headline fiscal deficit numbers look good, the government has increasingly resorted to off-budget financing for revenue as well as capital spending As with every other Union budget in the country, all eyes will focus on the fiscal deficit number that India’s new finance minister, Nirmala Sitharaman presents on 5 July in her maiden budget speech. But for many investors and analysts, how that...
More »Drought casts spell on Maharshtra economy, growth stagnant at 7.5% -Sandeep Ashar
-The Indian Express The one indicator that will worry the Devendra Fadnavis-led government the most as it spells out its final budget before the state polls on Tuesday is the negative growth in the crop sector. Mumbai: Suffering from a crippling drought and growing agrarian distress, Maharashtra’s economic growth remained stagnant at 7.5 per cent. According to the Economic Survey Report (ESR) 2018-19, which was presented to the state legislature on...
More »Arvind Subramanian's calculation of GDP is flawed too, says economist Arun Kumar
-Down to Earth He says neither the government not the former chief economic advisor include the unorganised sector while computing economic growth Noted economist Arun Kumar said former chief economic advisor Arvind Subramanian is correct in saying that the rate of growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has been overestimated in the last few years. Subramanian's methodology to gauge economic growth, however, may also not be correct — both being indirect methods...
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