-Livemint.com * GDP estimates are based on accepted methodologies, says government * Subramanian made the claims in his latest working paper published on the Harvard University website New Delhi: India’s statistics ministry likely underestimated the impact of demonetization and the rollout of the goods and services tax (GST) on economic activity, leading to an overestimation of gross domestic product (GDP) figures, the finance ministry’s former chief economic adviser, Arvind Subramanian, has said. On 31...
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Former CEA Arvind Subramanian says GDP growth inflated, govt disagrees -Abhishek Waghmare & Arup Roychoudhury
-Business Standard This has reignited the debate on the accuracy of India's GDP numbers in particular, and has once again highlighted the inefficiencies in the estimation of national accounts in general In a research paper that analyses data on 17 different economic indicators in the real sector, former chief economic advisor of India Arvind Subramanian has said that India’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth “was more likely to have been between...
More »Real GDP growth 2.5% lower than official: Ex-CEA Subramanian
-The Times of India India's gross domestic product growth rate has been overstated by about 2.5 percentage points per year post 2011, former chief economic adviser Arvind Subramanian has said in a research paper, prompting economists to doubt the size of the claimed overestimation, and the government to defend the data . Subramanian also called for revisiting the entire methodology and implementation for GDP estimation by an independent task force, comprising national...
More »The farm-factory connect -Ashok Gulati
-The Indian Express Raising farm productivity is the first step to increasing rural demand and reviving the manufacturing sector As per the last report of National Statistical Office (NSO) released on May 31, the Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices (2011-12 prices) for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2018-19 has slumped to 5.7 per cent for the overall economy, 3.1 per cent for manufacturing, and -0.1 percent for agriculture, forestry...
More »The great Indian GDP debate, explained in five charts -Pramit Bhattacharya
-Livemint.com If there is no way to tell which part of the economy is doing well and which is not, policymakers will continue to have to rely on rough proxies and their intuition for decision-making A month after statisticians from the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) published a report exposing holes in one of the key databases used in India’s gross domestic product (GDP) calculations the controversy around India’s new GDP series...
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