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Some red flags in the economy numbers: Agriculture is the most alarming -RN Bhaskar

-MoneyControl.com When agriculture’s GVA growth climbed from -0.2% in 2014-15, to 0.7% in 2015-16, everyone expected agriculture to continue doing well. This was confirmed by this growth rate further rising to 4.9% in 2016-17. But what happened now? So it is finally official.  The fears that most people had kept suppressed – about India witnessing an Economic Slowdown – have been realised. The Central Statistical Office (CSO) came out last week with...

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Rural economy holds the key to economic revival -Himanshu

-Livemint.com Distress in rural economy is not limited only to the agrarian sector but has also spilled over to the larger economy with unemployment becoming a major challenge 2017 has been a bad year for the economy. The fact that the economy is in crisis, particularly the rural economy, is no longer a matter of statistics. The recent elections in Gujarat have laid bare the fissures in the rural economy that have...

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The Truth That GDP Figures Conceal -Bodapati Srujana

-Newsclick.in The estimated growth rate for the second quarter has been declared as 6.3%, but this is nothing that an average Indian should celebrate. The quick estimated growth rate of GDP for the second quarter (Q2) of 2017-18, has been declared as 6.3%, compared to 5.7% of the previous quarter (Q1). This is seen by many, including Mr Jaitley, as a sign that India’s economic growth is back on track. According to...

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Jean Dreze, development economist, interviewed by Ankita Virmani (Firstpost.com)

-Firstpost.com Development economist Jean Dreze has been vociferous critic of the Narendra Modi government's demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes a year back. He had famously warned that "demonetisation in a booming economy is like shooting at the tyres of a racing car". A year on, it seems his caution has come true. In the first quarter of the current financial year, the GDP growth slowed to a three-year...

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Avoid the adventurous path -M Govinda Rao and C Rangarajan

-The Hindu Any aggressive attempt to widen the fiscal deficit will land India’s economy in problems The sharp deceleration in the growth of the economy as revealed by the first quarter estimate of GDP released a month ago has been widely commented upon. The policy prescriptions needed to reverse the trend depend on our understanding of the factors responsible for the slowdown. Among other things, one factor that stands out is the...

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