-The Indian Express The Union budget should focus on enhancing credit flows to the small and marginal farmers, increase investment in health and education. The first advance estimates of GDP for 2020-21 are much better than the earlier market consensus and shows the inherent strengths of the Indian economy. The economy is expected to contract by 7.7 per cent implying a COVID-19 induced loss of Rs 9.61 lakh crore in real terms...
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Bad loans may hit 22-year high by Sept, RBI stress tests show -Shayan Ghosh and Gopika Gopakumar
-Livemint.com The gross bad loan ratio of banks which stood at 7.5% as of 30 September, could almost double to 14.8% under a severe stress scenario, RBI warns Indian banks’ bad loan ratio could rise to 13.5% under the baseline stress scenario by September, the highest in more than 22 years, posing a risk to the broader economy, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said. The gross bad loan ratio of banks which...
More »Quality gigs, a solution to urban unemployment -Vineet John Samuel
-The Hindu With no urban equivalent to the NREGA as yet, there must be a focus on supporting new forms of employment With the Indian economy gradually finding its feet after a historic contraction of negative 23.9% in the April-June quarter, economic commentators have busied themselves with debating the need for fiscal expansion and the viability of a “V-shaped recovery”. These debates, however, have shifted focus away from the employment question, considered...
More »India’s external sector during the pandemic -CP Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh
-NetworkIdeas.org The complete absence of any meaningful fiscal response from the Indian government in the face of one of the biggest economic crises ever faced, cries out for explanation. One argument has been that the central government is concerned about its external vulnerability: a large increase in public spending could generate higher imports, thereby worsening the trade deficit at a time when volatile capital flows have already made the balance of...
More »India’s GDP to contract eight per cent, set to be worst performer in South Asia
-The New Indian Express Bangladesh will post the best growth in the region growing at 5.2 per cent on the back of revived exports, said the Asian Development Bank in its Asian Development Outlook. NEW DELHI: India’s GDP is expected to contract by 8 per cent in the current financial year and will be the worst performer in South Asia barring Maldives. Bangladesh will post the best growth in the region growing at...
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