-TheWire.in How correct was it for the Central Statistics Office to have selectively used contested methods for preparing the back series data? The spotlight is back on India’s growth rates, three years after the gross domestic product (GDP) data using the 2011-12 base year was released. Before trying to delve into the controversy surrounding the back-series data – which saw GDP growth from 2006-2012 reduce significantly – it is important to understand how...
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GDP back series data: New numbers do not pass the basic smell test; mess of the past has just got worsened -Vivek Kaul
-Firstpost.com In January 2015, India moved to a new method of calculating the gross domestic product (GDP). The trouble was that up until day before yesterday, data from only 2011-2012 onwards was available as a part of this new GDP series. Hence, any comparison with the years before 2011-2012 was not possible. On Wednesday, nearly four years after moving to a new GDP series, the government released GDP data for the years...
More »Why India's New GDP Math Lacks Credibility -MK Venu
-TheWire.in The new back-series GDP data, released four months before the 2019 general elections, fails several common sense tests. India’s back-series GDP (gross domestic product) data, released by the NITI Aayog just four months before the 2019 general elections, turn the basic laws of macroeconomics on their head. Here’s one that is most intriguing. The data show lower GDP growth during the UPA years, which is when the gross investment to GDP...
More »As institutions change, so does data credibility
-Livemint.com An economy’s resilience and sustainability is best measured through its institutional strength The official back data on India’s gross domestic product (GDP), released by the Central Statistical Office (CSO) on Wednesday, runs the risk of denting the market’s trust and conviction in official data released by government agencies. The new data release contradicts the earlier findings of a committee set up by National Statistical Commission to develop a methodology for deriving...
More »GDP growth likely to decelerate to 7.5-7.6% in Q2: Report
-PTI The Central Statistics Office (CSO) will be releasing the estimates for GDP growth for July-September on Friday. NEW DELHI: The gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the September quarter is expected to decelerate to 7.5-7.6 per cent over the previous three-month period mainly due to slowdown in rural demand, a State Bank of India (SBI) research report said Monday. The GDP growth at constant prices (2011-12) was 8.2 per cent in the...
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