-The Hindu Business Line Recent macro data hint at delayed second-order impacts from note ban Did the Indian Economy suffer only temporary hiccups from the abrupt withdrawal of high-value currency notes in November 2016? Until recently, the Government and quite a few commentators were convinced that it did. Macro-economic data releases such as the first advance GDP estimates (which retained real gross value added, or GVA, growth at 7 per cent for...
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The spectre of unemployment -Raghavan Srinivasan
-The Hindu Sans quality jobs, ‘aspirational young India’ will become ‘angry young India’ The government – and Paytm – may not agree, but there are some downsides to the rising digitisation and connectivity. One is an unleashing of aspirations. Everyone wants not just what Bengal’s leftists used to contemptuously dismiss as components of the middle-class Indian dream — gaadi, baadi, chaakri (car, home, job) — but a whole lot of other things....
More »Political Economy structures perpetuate myopic understanding of agriculture sector -Nirvikar Singh
-The Financial Express A half-dozen years ago, I participated in a conference on water resource challenges in India. I remember Upmanu Lall, professor at Columbia University, graphically and bluntly making the point that Punjab’s water table was not far from collapse. This has been known for years, and there have been feeble efforts to deal with the problem, but they have been far short of what is needed. My own understanding...
More »No Jobs, And Now No Skills -Vineet John Samuel
-HuffingtonPost.in What the dissolving of Skill India’s ambitious targets says about India’s tryst with jobless growth. The recent figures released by the Labour Bureau's Quarterly Economic Survey have pointed to a rather dangerous trend in terms of employment for the country. According to the latest government data, job creation for the nine months running up to December 2016 for the eight labour-intensive sectors of the Economy was at an abysmally low 2.31...
More »Is India faced with a 3.1 lakh crore farm-loan waiver? And will it help?
-IANS As demands for farm-loan waivers grow across Punjab, Haryana, Tamil Nadu, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, and Karnataka -- after Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra wrote off loans worth Rs 36,359 crore and Rs 30,000 crore, respectively -- India faces a cumulative loan waiver of Rs 3.1 lakh crore, or 2.6 per cent of its GDP in 2016-17. A waiver of this scale could pay for the 2017 rural roads budget 16 times over...
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