-Hindustan Times In the discourse on agriculture, for instance, farmer suicides are cited as the biggest proof of the agrarian crisis in the country by a large section. India’s political economy discourse is often a prisoner of the dictum that when there is no theory, there is a conspiracy theory. Corruption, rather than an accentuated cyclical shock after the global financial crisis, combined with the poor governance structures in Indian...
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The numbers game -Puja Mehra
-The Hindu A structural break can be observed in the GDP back series before and after the year 2011-12 India’s national income statistics are under a cloud. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has released official revisions of the GDP estimates for the years 2004-05 to 2013-14 in the Manmohan Singh-led government’s tenure. The revisions make the Narendra Modi government’s performance on the economic front appear better than that of its predecessor. In 2015,...
More »Demonetisation: Is data being cherry-picked to show note ban delivered? -Rupa Subramanya
-Financial Express Has demonetisation led to a big increase in the number of people filing taxes and in tax revenue collected? Has demonetisation led to a big increase in the number of people filing taxes and in tax revenue collected? In other words, have the tax base and tax revenue increased substantially due to demonetisation? Minister of finance Arun Jaitley, and assorted defenders of the government, do make these claims. Writing in...
More »CMIE's Mahesh Vyas says 3.5 million jobs lost due to demonetisation
-The Indian Express The impact on the labour force was even much more significant. While the job losses could have been at least 3.5 million, the reduction in the labour force was to the tune of 15 million. New Delhi: Demonetisation may have caused job losses of at least 3.5 million and the damaging impact on labour force was even starker, Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) chief executive Mahesh Vyas said...
More »Did the Indian economy create nearly 13 million jobs in 2017? -Amit Basole and Anand Shrivastava
-Hindustan Times While a final conclusion on employment growth should wait for 2017-18 NSSO data, rosy estimates based on selective assumptions do not inspire much confidence . New Delhi: In a study prepared as a background report for the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, economists Surjit Bhalla and Tirthatanmoy Das have claimed that the Indian economy created around 12.8 million jobs (by principal status) in 2017. The authors also claim that net...
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