-The Tribune Little impact of demonetisation Six years after demonetisation, the black currency market continues to thrive. There has been a whopping 107 times increase in the number of fake currency notes of Rs 2,000 denomination between 2016 and 2020. In a written reply to the Lok Sabha, Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary today said 2,272 fake currency notes of Rs 2,000 denomination were seized in 2016, 74,898 in 2017, 54,776...
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Poor Economics: Has India’s poverty really fallen? -Santosh Mehrotra & Jajati Parida
-Financial Express Dataset and methodological weaknesses cast doubt on recent poverty estimates that claim drastic reduction Bhalla, Bhasin and Virmani in a working paper (IMF), claimed India’s poverty, per a $1.9 per person per day poverty line (at PPP), was 0.9% of the population in 2020. Thanks to government transfer of free rations of 5 kg per person month, it fell to 0.8% (from 0.9% in 2019). Roy and de Velt, for...
More »Data, interrupted: On official household spending survey
-The Hindu Reviving the official household spending survey is only a first step India’s official statistical machinery is gearing up to relaunch the All-India Household Consumer Expenditure Survey, traditionally undertaken quinquennially, from July 2022. If it fructifies, the result may be known towards the latter half of 2024, provided the Government permits the release. The last such Survey (2017-18), did not get such a sanction — its results reportedly indicated the first...
More »The Hard Grind: Wheat inflation becoming hard to stomach for Indian households -Siddharth Upasani
-Moneycontrol.com India was supposed to be largely insulated from the war between Russia and Ukraine as far as prices of food items were concerned. However, there are signs that the conflict in Europe is adding to Indians' wheat bill. On April 18, data from the commerce ministry showed India's Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation unexpectedly rose to a four-month high of 14.55 percent in March. And while energy and metals led the...
More »Claims vs reality: India's bleak job picture -Santosh Mehrotra and Tuhinsubhra Giri
-Deccan Herald Poor pandemic management has added 10 million youth to the ranks of the unemployed in the country India’s GDP growth rate has been slowing consistently since 2016, thanks to consistent economic policy mistakes made by the Union government, starting with demonetisation. It hurt the non-farm unorganised sector MSMEs, as it hurt agriculture (third year running, after two years of drought in 2014 and 2015). Between them, these sectors are responsible for...
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