-Livemint.com Every pollster has predicted an NDA win. Is exit poll a fraud science or can one attach some credibility to it? On 23 May, India would have a new government and exit pollsters would have their judgment day. The exit polls forecast anywhere between 267 (ABP-Nielsen) to 365 seats (India Today-Axis Poll) for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Such a wide variation in the range...
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The middle income trap that India must avert
-Livemint.com A top economic adviser has flagged the risk of stagnation that lack of inclusive growth could cause. We must reduce inequality and help everyone achieve upward mobility The warning by Rathin Roy, a member of an economic panel advising Prime Minister Narendra Modi, that India could be headed for a “structural crisis" has sparked a debate on whether the economy’s days of high single-digit growth rates are a thing of the...
More »GDP scare
-The Hindu Business Line Fears over shell companies inflating the GDP are overdone, but the CSO needs to be more transparent in its methods Just as the dust was settling on the controversy over the Centre deferring the release of NSSO’s labour force survey which showed unemployment numbers in an unflattering light, a new one has broken out on the veracity of the MCA-21 database used in GDP calculations. The economic commentariat...
More »NSS report on services sector to be examined by committee: MoSPI
-PTI New Delhi: The statistics ministry Wednesday said an official committee will examine the NSS technical report on services sector enterprises, which has raised questions over the GDP data. The technical report of the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) has generated controversy following its observation that as much as 36 per cent units forming part of MCA-21 database, used in computing GDP, could not be either identifiable or traceable in the field. The...
More »Data GAPs in GDP calculation will be resolved: Govt
-Hindustan Times The NSSO report, findings of which were first published in Mint on Wednesday, found that 36% of the companies in the MCA-21 database maintained by the ministry of corporate affairs (MCA) could not be traced or were wrongly classified. New Delhi: The ministry of statistics and programme implementation (MoSPI) has downplayed the controversy around India’s gross domestic product (GDP) data after a National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) report raised serious...
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