-The Telegraph New Delhi: The Demonetisation Demon will gouge India's economic growth in 2016-17 by at least half a percentage point, chief economic adviser Arvind Subramanian told reporters after presenting the Economic Survey a day before the budget. Subramanian, who was voicing his views for the first time on the deeply polarising subject of demonetisation, rejected the dire prophecies of other Oracles, including his former employer, the International Monetary Fund, that projected...
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Will we miss the budget opportunity? -Jayati Ghosh
-The Indian Express Post-demonetisation, a reversal of the slowdown would require enhanced public spending. It doesn’t appear to be forthcoming. Given the economic uncertainty around the world and the demonetisation-induced domestic downturn in the Indian economy, preparing this year’s Union budget was never going to be an easy task. But the Modi government seems determined to make its task harder. It has managed to generate expectations — that will almost inevitably remain...
More »The majority at the margins -Jayati Ghosh
-The Indian Express Protests by the people against inequality are producing governments that move exactly in the opposite direction We all know that the world is an unequal place, both across and within countries. We also know that across the world, people are expressing their anger and disgust at this inequality. This is increasingly revealed in extreme and often paradoxical political results. In the US, a vote against the establishment has just...
More »Jaitley's Tax Argument Isn't a Good Indicator of India's Economic Health -Suyash Rai
-TheWire.in Using tax collection numbers as signifiers of robust economic activity may be highly optimistic. One of the most interesting questions in Indian macroeconomics today is – how are we faring since late 2016? In this article, I seek to analyse data on tax revenues and obtain some clues about the performance of the economy. In a press release published on January 9, the central government reported the following increases in tax collections...
More »Lens on co-operative banks as I-T sleuths find laundering role -Pradeep Thakur & Prabhakar Sinha
-The Times of India NEW DELHI: Investigations by the income tax department have found that a large number of cooperative banks have been manipulating and laundering unaccounted money post demonetisation of high denomination currency notes of Rs 1000 and Rs 500 on November 8. As the department's findings suggest a general absence of requisite regulatory oversight over cooperative banks across the country, the government feels the need for a strong regulatory framework. An...
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