-Hindustan Times While a final conclusion on employment growth should wait for 2017-18 NSSO data, rosy estimates based on selective assumptions do not inspire much confidence . New Delhi: In a study prepared as a background report for the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, economists Surjit Bhalla and Tirthatanmoy Das have claimed that the Indian economy created around 12.8 million jobs (by principal status) in 2017. The authors also claim that net...
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Jobs growth claims in India: a fact check -R Nagaraj
-Livemint.com The present government has incentivized employers to comply with the EPF law by making their contribution for three years to expand formal sector employment Surjit Bhalla and Tirtha Das’ (B-D, hereafter) background paper, titled All You Wanted To Know About Jobs In India, But Were Afraid To Ask, is now available on the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) website (goo.gl/Y5CLtF)—a welcome initiative. It claims: “While there are no official employment...
More »Pronab Sen, former Chief Statistician of India, interviewed by TCA Sharad Raghavan
-The Hindu The former Chief Statistician on calculating GDP back series, on indicators of development, and the fall of the rupee The draft of the back series GDP data, which was made public by the government recently, is unlikely to change drastically even if other methods of calculation are used, says former Chief Statistician of India, Pronab Sen. The noted economist discusses GDP, employment and poverty data; the value of the rupee;...
More »Why the NSSO Employment Surveys Shouldn't Have Been Done Away With -Sona Mitra
-TheWire.in The new periodic labour force surveys, while welcome, will create a situation where there would be no data system to compare the present with the past. In a recent interview, Prime Minister Narendra Modi apparently said, “more than a lack of jobs, the issue is a lack of data on jobs”. For those of us who have been using the National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) data on employment and unemployment for...
More »Rural wage growth killed by demonetisation; fell from 11% to mere 0.45% in last 3 years, shows Ind-Ra data -Pragya Srivastava
-The Financial Express India’s rural wage growth has slumped from an average of 11% in the financial years 2013-15 to a mere 0.45% in the financial years 2016-18, due to the negative impact of demonetisation, a report said. An analysis of 25 different occupations in rural areas by India Ratings showed that rural wage growth slumped to decimal points from double-digit in last three years despite government support. India Ratings noted that...
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