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The global threat to our food security -Himanshu

-Livemint.com We must raise procurement to prepare for a possible rise in inflation as global food supplies shrink Recent data on inflation suggests a softening of the trend of rising inflation in retail prices. Much of the inflation this year has been driven by rising food prices, particularly edible oil and more recently cereals, primarily wheat. This has followed the global trend in food prices, which softened last month, even though they...

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Has inflation peaked? -Lokeshwarri SK

-The Hindu Business Line Inflation has been moderating off late but RBI is unlikely to let its guard down * Has inflation peaked in India? It’s too early to conclude that inflation has peaked in India. While CPI inflation has been drifting lower since the April 2022 peak of 7.79 per cent, the decline is very gradual. The July reading of 6.71 per cent is also well above the upper limit of RBI’s...

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Patra: India can sustain CAD of 2.5-3% without an external sector crisis

-The Telegraph Overall current account deficit in July rises to $21.04 billion (merchandise and services), commerce ministry reports on Friday Mumbai: Reserve Bank of India deputy governor Michael Patra has tried to soothe concerns about the anticipated surge in India’s current account deficit, suggesting that the country will not be roiled by a crisis if the CAD climbed to anywhere between 2.5 and 3 per cent of GDP. “Our experience has been that...

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Cereal inflation would be hard to tame amidst low rice acreage

Is India going to face inflation in cereal prices during the rest of the current financial year? Experts differ on this. An analysis by Nomura Global Economics and CEIC finds that a below normal monsoon does not always translate into high retail inflation in food. Similarly, an above normal southwest monsoon does not always bring down the rate of food inflation. However, some agricultural experts (please click here, here and...

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Centre, RBI bid to curb inflation

-The Telegraph Food prices, which account for nearly half of the consumer price index basket, softened last month The finance ministry and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) are in discussions on the inflation trajectory amid the easing of global commodity and crude Oil Prices. A Reuters poll of economists forecast retail inflation at a five-month low in July at 6.78 per cent. But it is still above the RBI’s upper threshold...

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