-The Hindu How a business friendly government has failed to arrest the slide in private Investment It may appear that the recent hullabaloo over GDP (gross domestic product) growth in the past decade has cast a shadow over assessment of the economy’s progress since 2014, but it is not so. There exists enough information for this as GDP is not the sole indicator on which one needs to rely in such an...
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Is the new GDP series a travesty of statistics? -Himanshu
-Livemint.com India’s statistical system suffered credibility shocks when the GDP series was released Last week, the NITI Aayog released the back series of gross domestic product (GDP) data on base 2011-12 for the years 2004-05 to 2011-12. The series was eagerly awaited by researchers as well as policymakers ever since the base was revised in January 2015. This release follows an unofficial release of the report of the committee on real...
More »Q2 GDP growth slows to 7.1% from 8.2% in Q1 -TCA Sharad Raghavan
-The Hindu Various ratings agencies had predicted such a slowdown in the second quarter due to the impact of rising oil prices on input costs, and also due to the effect of the rupee devaluation. New Delhi: Second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 7.1%, from 8.2% in the preceding three-month period, official estimates released on Friday show. Gross Value Added (GVA) growth eased to 6.9% in July-September, from 8%. The GDP expansion in the...
More »Revised back-series GDP data poses a problem for SBI -- how did we really perform? -Mahua Venkatesh
-ThePrint.in SBI report says bank’s performance will have to be rewritten based on the new data and this can be contentious due to questions over credibility. New Delhi: The Narendra Modi government’s revised set of back-series GDP data, which slashed the average rate of growth during the UPA regime, pose “reconciliation problems regarding micro and macro data interpretation”, a State Bank of India (SBI) report said Thursday. A careful data interpretation will be...
More »Why India's New GDP Math Lacks Credibility -MK Venu
-TheWire.in The new back-series GDP data, released four months before the 2019 general elections, fails several common sense tests. India’s back-series GDP (gross domestic product) data, released by the NITI Aayog just four months before the 2019 general elections, turn the basic laws of macroeconomics on their head. Here’s one that is most intriguing. The data show lower GDP growth during the UPA years, which is when the gross Investment to GDP...
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