-Hindustan Times Most predicted a clear win for the Tejashwi Yadav led Mahagatbandhan, but the alliance eventually lost out in a close contest that went down to the wire, and which was decided by wafer-thing margins in some constituencies. The numerical see-saw presented by the Bihar election results through the day was not just hard on political parties and their supporters but also on psephologists who were wondering how they could have,...
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How Exit Polls landed on a Modi return -Rahul Verma
-Livemint.com Every pollster has predicted an NDA win. Is exit poll a fraud science or can one attach some credibility to it? On 23 May, India would have a new government and Exit Pollsters would have their judgment day. The Exit Polls forecast anywhere between 267 (ABP-Nielsen) to 365 seats (India Today-Axis Poll) for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Such a wide variation in the range...
More »How to conduct, read Exit Polls -Sanjay Kumar
-The Indian Express With various forecasts for the Lok Sabha election results out, which ones are more reliable than others? A veteran analyst describes the various methods, challenges and shortcomings in conducting an exit poll. How does the common man judge which exit poll is most reliable? Rely on the one whose numbers you like the most and dismiss the one whose numbers you dislike? Today, some even judge the accuracy...
More »RP Act 'violation': EC seeks explanation from 3 media houses on Exit Polls
-The Indian Express According to Section 126A of the RP Act, 1951, prediction of poll results is banned from the first day of voting till elections ends. In case of the ongoing Lok Sabha elections, media houses have been advised to not carry any article or programme related to “dissemination of results” from 7 am on April 11 to 6.30 pm on May 19. New Delhi: The Election Commission (EC) on...
More »UP elections: EC directs polling officers to file FIR against Dainik Jagran for conducting "exit poll" -Devesh Kumar Pandey
-The Hindu The newspaper published the “public feedback” on the first phase of Uttar Pradesh elections. The Election Commission on Monday issued orders to election officers of 15 Uttar Pradesh districts, in which the first phase of Assembly elections were held on February 11, to lodge separate criminal cases against the managing director of Resource Development International and the Chief Editor of Hindi daily Dainik Jagran on charges of conducting and publishing...
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