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In 2021, COVID Deaths Surged in Stunning Fashion in Eastern UP, Investigation Finds -CJP and TheWire.in

-Citizens for Justice and Peace and The Wire Data suggests that areas in eastern Uttar Pradesh, especially PM Modi’s Lok Sabha constituency of Varanasi, had 60% excess deaths during the pandemic relative to 2019. The Wire is grateful to Murad Banaji for his help with preparing this report. Data collected and analysed by Citizens for Justice and Peace, a human rights organisation, and independent experts shows deaths in the Purvanchal region of eastern...

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Many say Covid-19 will transition ‘from epidemic to endemic’. But what does this mean? -Murad Banaji

-Scroll.in In an endemic future, we will need to learn what levels of disease and death to expect. During the pandemic, many scientific debates have become highly politicised. These include debates around fatality rates, the mortality impact of the pandemic, herd immunity, vaccination, and various drugs and treatments. It has been common for unlikely or absurd claims to be couched in the language of science and data. So, it is not surprising that...

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Lessons from India’s all-cause mortality data -Aashish Gupta and Murad Banaji

-The Hindu Data suggest there were 3.5 million to 3.7 million ‘excess deaths’ nationwide, from April 2020 to June 2021 The scale of devastation caused by India’s COVID-19 epidemic is gradually becoming clearer. This is thanks to the efforts of journalists, The Hindu included, who have been gathering all-cause mortality data from around the country. The mortality data, from State and city civil registration systems, paint a grim picture of a major increase...

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In Rural India, COVID-19 Outbreaks Have One Standout Feature: Speed -Murad Banaji, Aashish Gupta and Leena Kumarappan

-TheWire.in If the current data is anything to go by, the low death figures reflect poor testing and recording rather than some natural “protection” from severe disease in rural India. Many rural areas were hit hard during India’s devastating recent COVID-19 surge. The scale of this rural epidemic remains largely hidden in official figures. But a flood of news reports tell a tale of infection sweeping rapidly through villages, high mortality, minimal...

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Making Sense of Madhya Pradesh’s Shocking Deaths Increase in April and May -Murad Banaji

-The Wire Science During April and May, 2021, Madhya Pradesh saw an astonishing rise in mortality. According to death registration data reported by Rukmini S., during these two months the state saw 1.7 lakh “excess” deaths over and above what would be expected from previous years’ data. In May alone the number of registered deaths was around five times the numbers seen in 2018 and 2019. Shocking as they are, these figures...

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