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This year too, El Nino may lead to deficit monsoon, drier conditions in India

-Down to Earth Drier-than-normal conditions in Southeast Asia are likely to develop around July to August and persist through the end of the year The survey of international weather models made by the Bureau of Meteorology under the Government of Australia shows steady warming of the central tropical Pacific Ocean is expected over the next six months. Moreover, at least six models suggest that El Nino thresholds will be reached by July...

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El Nino seen arriving too late to hurt India's monsoon rains -Pratik Parija

-Livemint.com/ Bloomberg A late El Nino may miss India’s monsoon season that runs from June through September, accounting for more than 70% of rain and watering more than half of all farmland New Delhi: India’s monsoon may escape the effects of a possible El Nino as the event that can bring dry weather to the world’s top cotton grower and second-biggest wheat and sugar producer. “Mostly it may not have any impact on...

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Demonetisation and the GDP: knock-out punch or mild tap? -Aarati Krishnan

-The Hindu The CSO has been consistent with its methods, allowing little room for suspicion of window dressing. Did demonetisation deal a knock-out punch to the Indian economy? Or was it just a mild tap from which it is already recovering? This debate should have been settled with the latest second advance estimates from the Central Statistics Office (CSO) which peg FY17 GDP growth at 7.1%. But commentators who believe that the economy...

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Met predicts normal monsoon this year -Jayashree Bhosale & Nishtha Saluja

-The Economic Times PUNE / NEW DELHI: Present weather conditions indicate possibility of a normal monsoon in 2017, although there is a chance of a weak El Niño — a weather phenomenon associated with poor rains in India — emerging towards the end of the rainy season in September, the weather office has said. However, the Monsoon forecast may not remain comfortable if El Niño makes an early appearance. Having briefly emerged from...

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Rain-boosting La Nina out, forecasters now fear El Nino

-The Economic Times NEW DELHI: The rain-boosting La Nina phenomenon is completely ruled out this year and conditions are likely to remain neutral or turn toward the feared El Nino, which is not good for the monsoon, but forecasters said that a clear picture would appear only after a few months. Changes in temperature in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, which scientists call El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), are a key influence on...

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