-The Hindu The CSO has been consistent with its methods, allowing little room for suspicion of window dressing. Did demonetisation deal a knock-out punch to the Indian economy? Or was it just a mild tap from which it is already recovering? This debate should have been settled with the latest second advance estimates from the Central Statistics Office (CSO) which peg FY17 GDP growth at 7.1%. But commentators who believe that the economy...
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Such Incredibly Accurate Revenue Budget Estimates? -Anuj Srivas
-TheWire.in Were the budget estimates for corporation and income taxes in 2016-17 a good coincidence or were they supposed to have been be qualified with a note? New Delhi: For the first time in at least ten years, the budget estimates (BE) of India’s corporate tax and income tax revenue receipts have exactly matched their corresponding revised estimates (RE) – give or take a couple of decimal points. A key part of every...
More »Will we miss the budget opportunity? -Jayati Ghosh
-The Indian Express Post-demonetisation, a reversal of the slowdown would require enhanced public spending. It doesn’t appear to be forthcoming. Given the economic uncertainty around the world and the demonetisation-induced domestic downturn in the Indian economy, preparing this year’s Union budget was never going to be an easy task. But the Modi government seems determined to make its task harder. It has managed to generate expectations — that will almost inevitably remain...
More »Jaitley's Tax Argument Isn't a Good Indicator of India's Economic Health -Suyash Rai
-TheWire.in Using tax collection numbers as signifiers of robust economic activity may be highly optimistic. One of the most interesting questions in Indian macroeconomics today is – how are we faring since late 2016? In this article, I seek to analyse data on tax revenues and obtain some clues about the performance of the economy. In a press release published on January 9, the central government reported the following increases in tax collections...
More »Tax buoyancy improves, thanks to indirect levy -Muthukumar K
-The Hindu Business Line Research Bureau But indirect tax is inequitable as it is a burden for both the rich and the poor alike The growth in tax collection in relation to GDP growth has improved over the past couple of years under the Modi regime. In 2013-14, the final year of the UPA regime, tax buoyancy hit a four-year low at 0.71. Since then, it has improved to 1.23 in 2014-15 and...
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