-The Hindu The RBI has estimated a 7.1% inflation rate for the July to September quarter India’s retail inflation touched 7% in August, up from 6.71% in July, fuelled by a 7.62% pick-up in food prices paid by consumers, even as industrial production growth in July had dropped to the lowest level since April at just 2.4%, with output levels dropping 2.75% month-on-month. This is the eighth successive month that retail inflation...
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Realistic analysis shows that the Indian economy has simply taken little steps in Q1 instead of a quantum leap
There is euphoria abound about India's growth performance during the first quarter of the current fiscal. As compared to the corresponding period last year, the year-on-year (y-o-y) GDP growth in the first quarter (Q1) of 2022-23 is down. However, one should take into account the fact that the high growth performance of the real GDP in Q1 of 2021-22 was due to the low base in the corresponding period of...
More »Cereal inflation would be hard to tame amidst low rice acreage
Is India going to face inflation in cereal prices during the rest of the current financial year? Experts differ on this. An analysis by Nomura Global Economics and CEIC finds that a below normal monsoon does not always translate into high retail inflation in food. Similarly, an above normal southwest monsoon does not always bring down the rate of food inflation. However, some agricultural experts (please click here, here and...
More »Price pinch: Editorial on the impact of inflation
-The Telegraph The Reserve Bank of India’s usual strategy of raising interest rates to hold inflation at bay kicked in a bit late and has not been working well so far In India, price inflation has been creeping up in the recent past. The latest data for June 2022 show consumer price index inflation to be 7.01% and wholesale price index inflation to be 15.18%. Food prices, which are an important component...
More »Fall in FMCG sales shows a declining quality of life
-The New Indian Express High inflation is not just a research figure fueling the economic debate. It has a real, negative impact on the daily lives of the masses. High inflation is not just a research figure fueling the economic debate. It has a real, negative impact on the daily lives of the masses. In this respect, fast-moving Consumer Goods (FMCGs) that are bought daily have seen lower sales through June, compared...
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