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Patra: India can sustain CAD of 2.5-3% without an external sector crisis

-The Telegraph Overall current account deficit in July rises to $21.04 billion (merchandise and services), commerce ministry reports on Friday Mumbai: Reserve Bank of India deputy governor Michael Patra has tried to soothe concerns about the anticipated surge in India’s current account deficit, suggesting that the country will not be roiled by a crisis if the CAD climbed to anywhere between 2.5 and 3 per cent of GDP. “Our experience has been that...

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Cereal inflation would be hard to tame amidst low rice acreage

Is India going to face inflation in cereal prices during the rest of the current financial year? Experts differ on this. An analysis by Nomura Global Economics and CEIC finds that a below normal monsoon does not always translate into high retail inflation in food. Similarly, an above normal southwest monsoon does not always bring down the rate of food inflation. However, some agricultural experts (please click here, here and...

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Centre, RBI bid to curb inflation

-The Telegraph Food prices, which account for nearly half of the consumer price index basket, softened last month The finance ministry and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) are in discussions on the inflation trajectory amid the easing of global commodity and crude oil prices. A Reuters poll of economists forecast retail inflation at a five-month low in July at 6.78 per cent. But it is still above the RBI’s upper threshold...

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First wheat, now rice — hit by bad weather, output could fall by ‘10 mn tonnes’ this season -Sayantan Bera

-ThePrint.in A hit to India’s rice output could lead to a major policy overhaul as it arrives on the back of a lower wheat harvest. New Delhi: After a severe heat wave in April-May singed India’s wheat crop, leading to a ban on exports, planting of rice, the main rain-fed crop in the ongoing kharif season, has been hit due to patchy rains in several states. Major rice-growing states such as Uttar Pradesh,...

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Why it will be hard to shrink Trade Deficit -Vivek Kaul

-Livemint.com * Price of oil and other commodities have fallen recently as fears of a recession have risen * But oil price is still high versus last year and needs to fall further to contain the import bill India’s Trade Deficit in June came in at the highest level ever of $26.2 billion. The previous high was in May, when the deficit had stood at $24.2 billion. The Trade Deficit is the difference...

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