-The Indian Express Policymakers need to stop thinking about India as a perennially supply-constrained economy focusing almost all policies and reforms to easing these constraints. Instead, it is time to let domestic demand play a greater role in India’s growth story. India’s fourth quarter GDP growth (calendar year 2019) printed another sub-5 per cent growth rate. It would have been lower had it not been for the large downward revisions to previous...
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India is constantly tinkering with GDP data. It’s hard to rely on it now -Vivel Kaul
-Newslaundry.com In the latest instance, GDP growth projections for the first two quarters of 2019-20 have been revised up, making it easier to meet the annual growth target of 5 percent. The Gross Domestic Product figures for the period of October to December 2019 were published late last week. GDP measures the economic size of a country. Alongside, the GDP figures for the previous two quarters – April to June 2019 and July...
More »Lifting growth, containing inflation -Ashok Gulati
-The Indian Express Reform of grain management system could free up resources for infrastructure investment. With GDP growth rate plummeting to 4.5 per cent and with the agriculture GDP (GDPA) growth at 2.1 per cent in the second quarter of this fiscal year, everyone concerned with the economy is anxious. The question being asked is whether the Indian economy can be put back on the 7-8 per cent growth trajectory and can...
More »Key steps to kick-starting the economy -C Rangarajan
-The Hindu Getting financial institutions to a healthy state when they can begin to lend confidently is most crucial for faster growth We bid goodbye to 2019 with a sigh of relief. Anything that could go wrong went wrong during this year. Growth rate plummeted. From the level of 8.1% in the fourth quarter of 2017-18, Quarterly GDP growth fell to 4.5% in the second quarter of 2019-20, a fall of 3.6...
More »Looking up: The farm hope -Harish Damodaran
-The Indian Express The ongoing price recovery in major crops is in danger of being stymied by knee-jerk government response. A lot of analyst commentary on the latest Quarterly GDP numbers for India has focused on the low growth in “nominal” terms: Gross value added (GVA) at current prices grew by just 6.3% year-on-year in July-September and 7.1% for April-September. If this first-half trend holds for the rest of 2019-20, it would...
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