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Claims vs reality: India's bleak job picture -Santosh Mehrotra and Tuhinsubhra Giri

-Deccan Herald Poor pandemic management has added 10 million youth to the ranks of the unemployed in the country India’s GDP growth rate has been slowing consistently since 2016, thanks to consistent economic policy mistakes made by the Union government, starting with demonetisation. It hurt the non-farm unorganised sector MSMEs, as it hurt agriculture (third year running, after two years of drought in 2014 and 2015). Between them, these sectors are responsible for...

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What will be India’s GDP in 2022-’23? The government and RBI have given three answers in 11 days -Rajrishi Singhal

-Scroll.in/ Qz.com While the economic survey and Budget estimate the growth in the coming fiscal year to be 8%-8.5% and 6.6% respectively, RBI forecasts it to be 7.8%. Indians have enjoyed an ever-expanding array of choices for consumer goods over the past couple of decades. In this season of cheer and goodwill, they now have the pleasure of even selecting a version of India’s growth perspectives, depending on the risks playing out. Three...

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How Nameplate Changes, Sleight of Hand Helped the FM Assemble Budget 2022’s ‘Big Capex Boost’ -Subhash Chandra Garg

-TheWire.in What you lose on the wings, you gain on the roundabouts.  With no other major growth investments or policy reforms in the budget, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman made capital investment the lynchpin of the government’s growth strategy in Budget 2022. Stressing that “the virtuous cycle of investment requires public investment to crowd-in private investment” she took high moral ground to say that the “public investment must continue to take the lead and...

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Three questions which capture India’s medium-term economic challenge -Roshan Kishore and Vineet Sachdev

-Hindustan Times By prioritizing long-term growth via a capital spending push, the budget has underplayed the need for urgent steps to boost short-term consumption demand. Immediate analyses of the Union Budget are always focused on the headline numbers which the document contains. While these numbers are important , it is essential to take a big picture view of the economy to examine the validity of the budget’s larger premise. Such an exercise...

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Indian Economy is in a Vicious Spiral; Only Way Out is by Empowering Working People -Prabhat Patnaik

-Newsclick.in India needs a larger government expenditure on transfers to the working people. For such larger expenditure, resources have to be raised through greatly increased taxation of the rich- a reversal of the perverse fiscal strategy the government has pursued so far. The Indian economy is currently caught in a vicious spiral of inflation, stagnation and a widening of the fiscal deficit. And this spiral is set to become even more vicious...

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