-Livemint.com India’s statistical system suffered credibility shocks when the GDP series was released Last week, the NITI Aayog released the back series of gross domestic product (GDP) data on base 2011-12 for the years 2004-05 to 2011-12. The series was eagerly awaited by researchers as well as policymakers ever since the base was revised in January 2015. This release follows an unofficial release of the report of the committee on real...
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Recalculating GDP figures isn't wrong, it's strange. Let CSO explain this -Ashok V Desai
-The Economic Times The NDA government has been a pioneer a number of times. Demonetisation and the goods and services tax (GST) are only its bestknown antics. Now it has taken the lead in politicising national income statistics. Normally, the Central Statistical Office (CSO) issues a press note every quarter, giving figures of national income and its components for the previous quarter. The figures do not make headlines. The common man has...
More »Revised back-series GDP data poses a problem for SBI -- how did we really perform? -Mahua Venkatesh
-ThePrint.in SBI report says bank’s performance will have to be rewritten based on the new data and this can be contentious due to questions over credibility. New Delhi: The Narendra Modi government’s revised set of back-series GDP data, which slashed the average rate of growth during the UPA regime, pose “reconciliation problems regarding micro and macro data interpretation”, a State Bank of India (SBI) report said Thursday. A careful data interpretation will be...
More »Demonetisation a massive, draconian, monetary shock: Arvind Subramanian
-IANS The former CEA says he does not think anyone disputes that demonetisation slowed growth. Demonetisation was a massive, draconian, monetary shock that accelerated economic slide to 6.8% in the seven quarters after it against the 8% recorded prior to the note ban, says former Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian. Breaking his silence on the November 8, 2016 decision of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, he says that he does not have a strongly-backed...
More »GDP growth likely to decelerate to 7.5-7.6% in Q2: Report
-PTI The Central Statistics Office (CSO) will be releasing the estimates for GDP growth for July-September on Friday. NEW DELHI: The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the September quarter is expected to decelerate to 7.5-7.6 per cent over the previous three-month period mainly due to slowdown in rural demand, a State Bank of India (SBI) research report said Monday. The GDP growth at constant prices (2011-12) was 8.2 per cent in the...
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