-The Hindu A structural break can be observed in the GDP back series before and after the year 2011-12 India’s national income statistics are under a cloud. The Central Statistics Office (CSO) has released official revisions of the GDP estimates for the years 2004-05 to 2013-14 in the Manmohan Singh-led government’s tenure. The revisions make the Narendra Modi government’s performance on the economic front appear better than that of its predecessor. In 2015,...
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Decoding the CSO's backcasting of national income data -KR Srivats
-The Hindu Business Line ‘GDP growth rates for 2004-11 were bound to come down’ New Delhi: “You can slice and dice the data anyway you want, but India’s GDP growth rates between 2004 and 2011 were bound to come down in the backcasting computation effort,” said TCA Anant, former Chief Statistician of India. When the new base year of 2011-12 came out, the Central Statistics Office (CSO) had documented and recognised that the...
More »India's GDP Debate: What Explains Reduced Growth Rates Under the UPA? -R Nagaraj
-TheWire.in How correct was it for the Central Statistics Office to have selectively used contested methods for preparing the back series data? The spotlight is back on India’s growth rates, three years after the gross domestic product (GDP) data using the 2011-12 base year was released. Before trying to delve into the controversy surrounding the back-series data – which saw GDP growth from 2006-2012 reduce significantly – it is important to understand how...
More »Q2 GDP growth slows to 7.1% from 8.2% in Q1 -TCA Sharad Raghavan
-The Hindu Various ratings agencies had predicted such a slowdown in the second quarter due to the impact of rising oil prices on input costs, and also due to the effect of the rupee devaluation. New Delhi: Second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 7.1%, from 8.2% in the preceding three-month period, official estimates released on Friday show. Gross Value Added (GVA) growth eased to 6.9% in July-September, from 8%. The GDP expansion in the...
More »GDP growth likely to decelerate to 7.5-7.6% in Q2: Report
-PTI The Central Statistics Office (CSO) will be releasing the estimates for GDP growth for July-September on Friday. NEW DELHI: The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the September quarter is expected to decelerate to 7.5-7.6 per cent over the previous three-month period mainly due to slowdown in rural demand, a State Bank of India (SBI) research report said Monday. The GDP growth at constant prices (2011-12) was 8.2 per cent in the...
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