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Global economy to feel the heat of monetary policy tightening: RBI Bulletin -Manish M Suvarna

-Moneycontrol.com Globally, central banks have been increasing interest rates to fight inflation. The global economy will bear the brunt of past monetary policy actions in 2023, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monthly Bulletin said on December 20. "Emerging market economies (EMEs) appear even more vulnerable, having battled currency depreciations and capital outflows in addition to slowing growth and high inflation," Bulletin said. Globally, central banks have been increasing interest rates to fight inflation. RBI...

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What is in store for India’s imports?

There is some respite expected for India in terms of prices of imported commodities. This may ease the depletion of its foreign exchange reserves. The country has faced a widening of its merchandise trade deficit from US$ -17.91 billion to US$ -26.91 billion between October 2021 and October 2022. The commodity price data provided by the World Bank in December 2022 (termed as The Pink Sheet) shows that energy prices plummeted by...

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Cereal inflation would be hard to tame amidst low rice acreage

Is India going to face inflation in cereal prices during the rest of the current financial year? Experts differ on this. An analysis by Nomura Global Economics and CEIC finds that a below normal monsoon does not always translate into high retail inflation in food. Similarly, an above normal southwest monsoon does not always bring down the rate of food inflation. However, some agricultural experts (please click here, here and...

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What is the financial position of the 5 states described as stressed by RBI? -Tina Edwin

-MoneyControl.com Bihar, Kerala, Punjab, Rajasthan and West Bengal could face a crisis if they fail to curb non-merit expenditure, the central bank has warned A study of fiscal parameters of states by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) identified Bihar, Kerala, Punjab, Rajasthan and West Bengal as highly stressed due to their high debt levels, the quality of expenditure and the level of fiscal deficit. These states could face a crisis if...

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Official data corroborates deepening of livelihood crisis in urban areas during the 2020 nationwide lockdown

The recently released quarterly Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) data broadly confirms the dip in employment and jobs during the countrywide lockdown period, followed by a certain degree of recovery in the post-lockdown months last year as have been indicated by various survey-based studies and research papers. The quarterly bulletin on PLFS provides data on key employment and unemployment indicators i.e. Unemployment Rate (UR), Worker Population Ratio (WPR) and Labour...

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