-PTI/ The Hindu Business Line The survey showed that food security could be at risk over the next three years A global recession is becoming increasingly likely due to stubbornly high inflation and real wages continuing to fall, the World Economic Forum said on Wednesday, citing a survey of chief economists from across the world. According to the WEF Chief Economists Outlook report, real wages are expected to continue falling across the world...
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Low Incomes Haunt India’s Growth -Subodh Varma
-Newsclick.in Three transformative steps could dramatically change this dire situation – provided Modi Govt. has the will to take them. Wage growth of households has declined from 8.2% in 2012-2016 to 5.7% in 2017-2021, according to a fresh study by a ratings agency. It will actually be even lower – around 1% - if inflation is taken into account. This slowing down of wage growth has happened in both rural and urban...
More »Hard realities -Renu Kohli
-The Telegraph The economy remains vulnerable to headwinds The shortfall in economic growth in the April-June quarter against rosier predictions of most, including the central bank, came as a surprise.Few anticipated the gap between expected and actual performance would be as much (2.5-3 percentage points). It has prompted a tide of downward revisions for the whole year; these follow a previous round, two months ago, due to inflation, higher interest rates, and...
More »First Quarter GDP Estimates This Year no Cause for Celebration -Prabhat Patnaik
-Newsclick.in It is clear that the stagnation that was setting in during 2019-20 has persisted and has even intensified now. The estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the April-June quarter released by the government on August 31 paint a dismal picture of the Indian economy. Since the GDP in real terms (at 2011-12 prices) shows an increase of 13.5% over the first quarter GDP a year ago, and since 13.5% appears...
More »Monetary Policy Alone Inadequate To Tame Inflation -Dr. Amar Patnaik
-NDTV.com At a time when Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation has remained above RBI's upper tolerance level of 6% for seven consecutive months and the WPI inflation rates are at the highest levels since January 2007, it is good that the issue was finally discussed in parliament and the RBI's recent rate hike signals recognition of the concern. However, during the debate in the parliament, the Treasury bench largely took a...
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